I was posed a question over Christmas. It was respectful and well-meaning, but the gist of it was, “Why do you bother to do this? You’re no expert, and sometimes you’re wrong.”
And that’s perfectly true: I have no degree in political science, nor even one in journalism. From time to time I’ll make a mistake — sometimes an egregious one. It’s even possible that the entire premise of an article might be completely off-base. These are all quite valid points, and it’s worth remembering them when you read: I might be wrong.
On the other hand, it’s occasionally possible everyone else is wrong.
No, not the Presidential race, though to be sure we’re still working through some of the process. Instead, let us consider the Senate: presently deadlocked at 50 Republicans and 48 Democrats, with a probable two seats up for runoff elections in Georgia.
Republicans don’t seem to have quite realized yet that the Democrats are probably going to win both seats.
I thought it would never happen. Either Gabbard or Yang was going to stay in way too long and then endorse Sanders, was my prediction. And now they’ve both let me down.
I mean, yeah, sure, nobody could have predicted the election would pivot to be about the Coronavirus. Taking down Trump I can see, and I even anticipated that the Democratic establishment would fear a Sanders presidency even more than a Trump (more…)
Tuesday’s vote will decide who stays in the race and who goes home. It may decide who comes out of July’s convention as the final candidate. In that sense, it’s quite possible it may determine our next president. I cannot overstate the importance of this primary event.
On the other hand, common wisdom has it that, as always, The Fix Is In. There’s (more…)
This may seem like a minor state contest, but in the greater scheme of things it’s vital. The entire D.N.C. conceit of identitarian politics is being tested today, and we’ll get to watch in real time. (more…)
Most of what I write that’s not Gonzo satire is fact, or as close to it as I can come. In this case it’s different; the entire topic is subjective, and what we’re discussing here is entirely about motives and speculation. All I can tell you is what I’ve been told, what I’ve read, and what I’ve extrapolated from other sources; there’s some (more…)
What you need to know going into today: Nevada is a caucus state, but different from Iowa. Every state is different, of course, but Nevada is very different. And I’m not just talking about the prostitution laws, although that does hit politicians very close to home; no, they do everything differently here in the Sagebrush State.
To begin with, it’s a closed caucus; only registered party members can vote. Which would matter (more…)