What you need to know going into today: Nevada is a caucus state, but different from Iowa. Every state is different, of course, but Nevada is very different. And I’m not just talking about the prostitution laws, although that does hit politicians very close to home; no, they do everything differently here in the Sagebrush State.
To begin with, it’s a closed caucus; only registered party members can vote. Which would matter (more…)
It’s true. Former New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg donated a quarter million to the DNC; two days later, they announced a rules change for the February debate in Nevada to permit him on the stage. Joe Biden’s reply is classic: “He’s not even on the ballot in Nevada.” My own thought is somewhat more cynical: If the DNC could be bought so cheaply, why didn’t the Climate Debate people (or Tulsi!) pay them off sooner?
Of course it’s not that simple; these things never are — and I’ll get into that. But (more…)
CNN informs us that four in five Iowans want some of the Democrats presently running for president to drop out of the race before they caucus in February. That’s fair enough; last I heard, there’s somewhere between 170 and 230 Democrats with active campaigns right now, and only half a dozen are polling above 1%.
And it’s reasonable from the standpoint of the average voter. After all, who has the time to get to know even the major candidates? Besides, it’s not as though there aren’t at least two championing every unique position. For my own reference, I’ve been maintaining a 2020 candidate guidebook to help me keep track of the top thirty or so; I’m quite happy to share it with you. (more…)
The caucusing is over; the choice is made; the numbers are in. And we know who won and who lost, pretty much; unlike last time, the results are pretty reliable. But even though the numbers don’t lie, by themselves they don’t tell the whole truth. (more…)
As of this writing, it’s about twenty-four hours before the Iowa Caucuses begin. This year there’s a good chance that we’ll know the results by the end of the night thanks to Microsoft. (Watch the video; it’s awesome.)
Just before the caucuses, the New York Times decided to endorse John Kasich, the solidly conservative governor of Ohio. And… well, let’s face it: The man’s got zero chance in Iowa. So who cares?