New Hampshire, by state law, has the first primary contest in the nation. Yes, I know; Iowa comes before New Hampshire — but that’s a caucus, not a primary. It’s a fundamentally different sort of contest, at least in a technical sense. And technicalities are the soul of the law.
(Ideally we’d have a legal system based on right and wrong, but you end up with squabbles over which is which. Technicalities is the best we can do. Anyway.)
Now that New Hampshire and Iowa are both over with, it’s somewhat remarkable that the so-called “Party of Inclusivity” has ended up with four old white people (more…)
It’s true. Former New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg donated a quarter million to the DNC; two days later, they announced a rules change for the February debate in Nevada to permit him on the stage. Joe Biden’s reply is classic: “He’s not even on the ballot in Nevada.” My own thought is somewhat more cynical: If the DNC could be bought so cheaply, why didn’t the Climate Debate people (or Tulsi!) pay them off sooner?
Of course it’s not that simple; these things never are — and I’ll get into that. But (more…)
Nate Silver is trying to get us to commit before Iowa. I’m willing.
The following is a transcript of my live Twitter rant, fresh off the Mojo Wire. It’s edited slightly for format purposes and to remove potentially libelous content about Betsy Warren’s dog, who when all is said and done has done nothing to deserve that sort of treatment. Besides, I love Bailey; he’s a Good Boy, isn’t he? Yes he is! (Follow @FirstDogBailey on Twitter!)(more…)
CNN informs us that four in five Iowans want some of the Democrats presently running for president to drop out of the race before they caucus in February. That’s fair enough; last I heard, there’s somewhere between 170 and 230 Democrats with active campaigns right now, and only half a dozen are polling above 1%.
And it’s reasonable from the standpoint of the average voter. After all, who has the time to get to know even the major candidates? Besides, it’s not as though there aren’t at least two championing every unique position. For my own reference, I’ve been maintaining a 2020 candidate guidebook to help me keep track of the top thirty or so; I’m quite happy to share it with you. (more…)
The caucusing is over; the choice is made; the numbers are in. And we know who won and who lost, pretty much; unlike last time, the results are pretty reliable. But even though the numbers don’t lie, by themselves they don’t tell the whole truth. (more…)
As of this writing, it’s about twenty-four hours before the Iowa Caucuses begin. This year there’s a good chance that we’ll know the results by the end of the night thanks to Microsoft. (Watch the video; it’s awesome.)
Just before the caucuses, the New York Times decided to endorse John Kasich, the solidly conservative governor of Ohio. And… well, let’s face it: The man’s got zero chance in Iowa. So who cares?